Start with rework you can identify
Think about time spent rebuilding a shared pattern, reconciling differences between products, or fixing the same component behavior in several places. Use recent examples to estimate the weekly effort, then adjust the inputs to see how sensitive the result is to your assumptions.
If you do not know a number, compare a lower and an upper estimate. A range you can explain is more useful in a planning discussion than a precise-looking total built on guesses.
What the estimate means
The calculator models annual rework and the share a more structured system might recover. Its working-year and recovery assumptions are shown with the calculation. They are model choices, not measured results from your organization.
The estimate does not include the cost of building, migrating to, or maintaining a design system. Compare those costs with the potential recovered hours before using the figure to support an investment. More products or a larger team alone do not establish that a new system will pay for itself.
Bring examples to the conversation
Use the total alongside actual work: a duplicated form, a difficult upgrade, or repeated accessibility fixes. Those examples help a team decide whether the answer is a shared component, better documentation, clearer ownership, or a smaller local change.
The design system scorecard can help identify which part of the system deserves a closer look.